BEIJING, May 25 -- A major change in China's yuan exchange rate could have
unpredictable effects on the country's booming economy and the Chinese
Government's cautious approach to currency reform is understandable as a result,
the World Bank's China country director said yesterday.
In a news briefing on the release of the World Bank's five-year development
strategy in China, David Dollar said China was still a developing country with a
weak financial sector and a lot of weak institutions.
"For the exchange rate, I have a lot of sympathy for the Chinese Government
approaching that cautiously," he said. "I agree with the macroeconomists who
think that it's in China's interests to allow some appreciation of the currency
but I respect the government wanting to make that move gradual."
"A big change in the exchange rate really could have unpredictable effects
on economic growth," he said.
The Group of Seven industrial powers, the United States in particular, has
steadily cranked up pressure on China to allow its currency to move more freely
on the foreign exchanges and appreciate more in line with its huge trade
surplus.
Many U.S. lawmakers accuse China of "artificially suppressing the value of
the yuan" against the U.S. dollar in order to gain an additional export trade
advantage.
Despite a 2.1 percent upward revaluation of the yuan last July, China has
continued to peg the yuan closely to the dollar and says any further loosening
of the yuan will be gradual.
(Source: Shenzhen Daily/ Agencies)